Saturday, September 13, 2014

NFL Week 2 NFC East Preview & Pick

I would be lying if I told you that I was never concerned about the outcome of last week's Eagles's season opener against Jacksonville, but I am being honest when I say that I knew the home-town Birds would play much better in the second half. Chip Kelly made the necessary adjustments and Nick Foles was able to shake-off some early jitters and quickly return to the form that made Philadelphia one of the most potent offenses in the NFL last season.

My biggest takeaway from Kelly's approach to this game is his desire to simply score points. He does know the value of playing defense and somewhere along the line that side of the ball is going to have to win some games as well, but something tells me that Kelly would not mind winning every game in a high-scoring shootout which makes Philadelphia a prime candidate for a wager on the OVER on the total line every time it takes the field.

As far as the rest of the division, it was a pretty dismal start for the other three teams. The biggest surprise was how bad the Giants looked against Detroit. While that game was not one of my official picks, I had this contest going OVER so I still would have cashed-in, but it appears that New York's retooled offense is still a work in progress. As far as Washington and Dallas, things are shaping-up to be a very long season for both of these teams unless they can quickly turn things around as well.

It is time to turn our attention to Week 2 in the NFL, and while I do not want to give my official pick away, it does involve our beloved Birds and it does involve a scoreboard that should be lighting up all night long come this Monday.

The following is a link to this week's NFC East preview and "pick of the week" as part of an ongoing series for Doc's Sports.

Expert NFL Betting Picks: Weekly NFC East Predictions Week 2

Friday, September 12, 2014

NFL Totals Betting: Week 2 Over and Under Predictions

I will be posting my NFC East Week 2 preview and "pick of the week" on Saturday morning as usual, but below is a link to my Week 2 top three plays on the total line which I also release for Doc's Sports on a weekly basis.

If you like to wager on NFL totals you might want to pay attention to my picks after posting a perfect 3-0 record in Week 1. While I would love to spend even more time marveling at this sterling start to the season, I am well aware that in this game you are only as good as your last picks so here ya go....

NFL Totals Betting: Week 2 Over and Under Predictions

Saturday, September 6, 2014

NFL Week 1 NFC East Preview & Pick

After a very successful run in 2013 picking my "game of the week" in the NFC East, Doc's Sports has invited me back to do this year's weekly preview and pick for my favorite division in the pros. Everyone knows what a huge Eagles fan I am, but I also fancy myself as a subject expert for the division they play in. If you were the betting type, you could have made over $2500 on last year's picks with an overall record of 12-5. Enough of living in the past as in this game you are only as good as your last correct play!

Last week I released my predictions for the season and, as expected, I have the Eagles repeating as NFC East champs. That is not a real stretch when you consider that every major sportsbook's futures odds and most football experts are predicting the same thing. Coming into Sunday's season opener, the Birds are the only double-digit favorite on the board in a matchup against Jacksonville. I stayed away from this game only because it is tough to lay that many points against any NFL team in the first week of the season. If I had to make a pick for Sunday, I would probably go with the OVER 52 on the total line. Philadelphia is going to put up more than 30 points because that is what Chip Kelly does and I think that the Jaguars will score enough points to help the total eclipse this number.

I like the Giants to cover with the 5.5 points against Detroit on Monday night, but I do not love that pick. I completely stayed away from the Dallas game since there are just too many question marks with both the Cowboys and the 49ers. That leaves me with Washington at Houston as my NFC East "Pick of the Week". Since I do not want to spoil the surprise here (or jinx myself bragging about it) please check out Doc's at the link below for my complete preview of all the games in the division for opening day as well as my official selection for the Redskins' game.

Expert NFL Betting Picks: Weekly NFC East Predictions Week 1

Saturday, August 30, 2014

Eagles Lincs Fearless 2014 NFL Prognostications (Picks)

The new NFL season gets underway next week which can only mean that it is time for me to release my official picks for the year. Since there is no rear view mirror on this bandwagon I see no sense in looking back at last year's picks in relation to the actual results. Instead, I choose to look forward to a new year in the NFL.

Starting in the AFC:

AFC West

Denver 12-4
San Diego 9-7 (wildcard)
Kansas City 7-9
Oakland 5-11

AFC South

Indianapolis 10-6
Houston 8-8
Tennessee 6-10
Jacksonville 5-11

AFC North

Pittsburgh 10-6
Cincinnati 8-8
Baltimore 6-10
Cleveland 5-11

AFC East

New England 12-4
Miami 9-7 (wildcard)
New York Jets 6-10
Buffalo 6-10

NFC West

Seattle 11-5
San Francisco 9-7 (wildcard)
Arizona 8-8
St. Louis 5-11

NFC South

New Orleans 13-3
Carolina 8-8
Atlanta 7-9
Tampa Bay 6-10

NFC North

Green Bay 12-4
Chicago 9-7 (wildcard)
Detroit 6-10
Minnesota 5-11

NFC East

Philadelphia 11-5
New York 9-7
Washington 7-9
Dallas 6-10

Playoffs- Wildcard Round

Pittsburgh over Miami
Indianapolis over San Diego

Philadelphia over Chicago
Seattle over San Francisco

Playoffs- Divisional Round

New England over Pittsburgh
Denver over Indianapolis

New Orleans over Philadelphia
Green Bay over Seattle

AFC Championship

New England over Denver

NFC Championship

New Orleans over Green Bay

Super Bowl XLIX

New England over New Orleans

And there you have it!

Saturday, August 23, 2014

Philadelphia Eagles 2014 Team Preview

I am glad I waited until the Eagles played their third preseason game before posting my official team preview. While I never had any doubts about the Birds ability to score points in Chip Kelly's fast-paced, up-tempo system, I was unimpressed with the defensive effort against both Chicago and New England in their first two preseason games. After watching Philly's D shutdown Pittsburgh on Thursday night, I feel somewhat better heading into the regular season opener against Jacksonville in two weeks.

The Eagles' defense made some solid strides last year in a new system under coordinator Billy Davis; however they were still ranked 29th in the NFL in total yards allowed and dead last in the league at stopping the pass. The Bears and the Patriots both moved the ball through the air with relative ease in those first two games no matter which quarterback was in the game. Both teams proved to be a good test for the revamped Philly secondary, but I am not handing out any passing grades given how they played. Pittsburgh is not nearly the threat passing the ball as the first two teams they played, but the Birds did a great job at forcing Big Ben into some bad throws, which in turn, kept the Steelers off the scoreboard when the first teamers were on the field.

Just like an offense that relies on a set system to put points on the board, Davis's defense needs to develop a system that adds more pressure up front to take pressure off the secondary. It really does not come down to personnel as most people would think. It comes down to everyone doing their job on every play of the game. You may not fully buy into this next statement, but the Eagles do have enough talent to be one of the best defenses in the league. To get to that level it will need to play with much better consistency from week to week.

There have been some wholesale changes in the Eagles' defense since last season so it may take some time for things to gel, but if this team can continue to improve against the pass while enhancing its already solid play at stopping the run, it could mean the difference between another 10-win season and the 12 or 13 wins it will take to secure a first-round bye in the playoffs.

Just for the record, my official pick for how many games the Eagles will win this season is 11 with the final one coming in Week 17 on the road against the Giants to clinch the NFC East Division title. The loss would drop the Giants to 9-7 on the year, which could be enough for a wildcard spot in the playoffs. I have Washington coming in third at 7-9 and Dallas will take a step backwards this season to 6-10.

Back in early July I posted my complete team preview for the Eagles on Cappers Picks so it might be a bit dated, but please check out the link below when you get a chance.

Philadelphia Eagles Super Bowl XLIX Betting Lines & 2014 NFL Preview